Macau December Casino Revenue to Hit MOP17 bln – JP Morgan

MACAU, SAR (December 11, 2023) — Gross gaming revenue for the first 10 days of December is estimated at MOP5.2 billion (US$650 million), according to J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific).

The ‘Macau News Agency’ report recent analysis by J.P. Morgan analysts Mufan Shi, Selina Li, and DS Kim suggests a daily run-rate of MOP520 million per day – weaker than the daily average of MOP535 million in November – partly due to a “poor VIP luck factor”.

Their analysis also suggests a recovery of mass-market casino revenue to a range of 95 per cent to 100 per cent of the pre-Covid level, versus a full recovery observed in the previous months.

“We do expect, however, demand to ramp up in the coming weeks into Christmas and year-end holidays,” said the three analysts.

JP Morgan expects December to generate about MOP17 billion eventually, or a run-rate of at least MOP550 million per day.

If proved to be accurate, the projection implied a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8 per cent in gross gaming revenue this quarter, with a 9 per cent hike in the mass market segment.

A strong mass performance could drive industry EBITDA up by 8 to 10 per cent compared to a quarter earlier.

SOURCE: Macau News Agency (MNA).